Introducing government contracts to technology forecasting / Nikitinsky N.S., Ustalov D.A., Shashev S.A. // International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues. - 2015. - V. 5, l. 3S. - P. 300-307.

ISSN:
21464138
Type:
Article
Abstract:
Nowadays, technology forecasting has become a multidisciplinary field employing various methods for detecting patterns in data sources in order to forecast trends and future state of different technologies. Technology forecasting is widely used by decision-makers for evaluating grant and contract proposals. Although there are some production-grade systems for technology forecasting for English, Russian patent databases and citation indexes are isolated from the global ones. This makes technology forecasting in Russia more complicate. In this research, we introduce government contracts as new possible parameter for technology forecasting. We think that government contracts indicate government’s interest in certain area of research or technology and thus may influence technology trends. We analyzed Russian government contracts; however, we consider this parameter suitable for technology forecasting systems in other languages as most of fundamental research conducted in most countries is sponsored by government. We study government contracts utilizing an information retrieval system pipeline exploiting latent semantic analysis and word2vec. © 2015, Econjournals. All rights reserved.
Author keywords:
Government contract; Information retrieval; Technology forecasting; Trend analysis JEL
Index keywords:
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DOI:
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Affiliations NAUMEN, 47 Varshavskoye Highway, Moscow, Russian Federation; Ural Federal University, 19 Mira Street, Yekaterinburg, Russian Federation; Tsentr Razrabotki, LLC, 20/1 Pozharova Street, Sevastopol, Russian Federation
Author Keywords Government contract; Information retrieval; Technology forecasting; Trend analysis JEL
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Publisher Econjournals
Language of Original Document English
Abbreviated Source Title Int. J. Econ. Financ. Issues
Source Scopus